Abstract We provide the first systematic assessment of data leakage issues in the use of machine learning on panel data. Our organising framework clarifies why …
On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning With Panel Data
Signature Spending Politics
(joint with Augusto Cerqua, Costanza Giannantoni and Marco Letta) Abstract We study the behavior of politicians when they have vast discretion over the allocation of …
Femicides, Anti-Violence Centers, and Public Salience: A Territorial Approach
(joint with Augusto Cerqua, Costanza Giannantoni and Marco Letta) Abstract This paper conducts a comprehensive study on the geographic and socioeconomic patterns associated with femicides …
Political Talk Show Videos as Data
Abstract Even though we live in the golden age of the Internet and social networks, the “idiot box” remains the primary and undisputed source of …
The Urban Roots of Populism: mapping and explaining populist strongholds within major Italian cities (2013-2022)
(joint with Mirko Crulli) Abstract The impact of local contexts on populist voting patterns is receiving more attention, after being initially underestimated in the research …
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
Abstract We evaluate the impact of a recent reform that sharply increased the salaries of Italian local politicians on electoral competition and the valence attributes …
Sezioni Elettorali Italiane (SEI): A new database of Italian Electoral Results geocoded at precinct level
Abstract Obtaining geocoded electoral results at precinct level can be challenging in many countries. In this study, we present two validated methodologies developed to overcome …
Do voters use information on candidates? Experimental evidence from a recent election.
Abstract Through a survey experiment during the 2021 municipal elections of Rome, Italy, we evaluate the effects of a policy on political transparency that requires …
Sports nationalism and xenophobia: when cheering turns into violence
ABSTRACT International football matches are among the highest manifestations of national pride and unity that a country can have in peaceful times. However, some anecdotal …
What characteristics of politicians affect electoral success?
Abstract We exploit the recent introduction of a law for political transparency to create a new dataset of all the 1076 candidacies for the European …